Archive for September 13th, 2007

Study: Text Messaging Can Boost Voter Turnout

Interesting findings from a new study of the use of text messaging to send day-before-election reminders to vote — 5% ain’t bad, and it sure was cheap ($1.56 per vote vs.$20-$70 for other methods). Conducted by the Student PIRGs’ New Voters Project, Working Assets and researchers from the University of Michigan and Princeton, the study looked at the effects of SMS GOTV reminders in the 2006 general election on a group of 4000 people selected at random from a pool of over 8000 new voters. Researchers checked polling records to see how many texters had voted and compared that with the control population. According to the actual paper, the 5% difference was statistically significant, and follow-up questioning of participants showed that positive responses far outweighed any backlash.

A couple of observations — as people sign up for more text notifications, they may not be as effective as in this example, and obviously we’ll want to see follow-up work on different populations. Still, it’s good to see some initial confirmation of the idea that text messaging is useful for building last-minute turnout. Note that campaigns and state parties may want to coordinate their text outreach, since people may recoil from receiving more than one go-vote-dammit message on their cell phones (a barrage of ten of them would suck). Let’s be careful not to poison the well before we’re finished drankin’ from it. Thanks to Mike Connery at Future Majority for the initial tip.

cpd

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Will Mark Warner Run a ‘Net-Heavy Senatorial Campaign?

According to today’s Post, Mark Warner announced yesterday that he’s running for Virginia’s now-open Senate seat — via an email to his supporter list. That’s not the first sign that the former tech executive would rely heavily on the Internet: before he bailed on the presidential race late in 2006, his campaign was already noteworthy for an intelligent and innovative approach to the ‘net. For details, see this post-mortem discussion of Warner’s presidential campaign by key members of his online staff, and also this piece on Jerome Armstrong in Personal Democracy Forum. Warner says that he won’t start campaigning in earnest until November, so between now and then, let’s keep an eye on whom he hires for his online staff.

In other election news, check out the multiple hatchet-strikes administered to Ol’ Fred today in the Post op-ed pages. George Will takes a solid swing at him over campaign-finance reform, a particular Will bugaboo, as well as the claims to piety of a man who rarely makes it to church. Bob Novak brings it dirty and nasty (shocker) with the claim that Thompson’s biggest problem is his close advisors — and has Republican political operatives willing to go on record by name to back him up. C.f. David Broder’s generally favorable column on Mitt Romney, and you can see the pundit-industrial complex indicating its collective preference. All bow before it.

cpd

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